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Sunday, 24 November
politics

How the war in Ukraine might end: a political scientist from the United States voiced three scenarios

Western experts named three possible scenarios for ending the war in Ukraine and estimated when victory would be achieved.

Dane Waters, a well-known American Republican political strategist and writer who worked in George W. Bush's White House but did not support Donald Trump in 2020, spoke about this.

In his opinion, it is possible to end the war in Ukraine under international law, but there are different scenarios.

According to the first scenario, it will be an undisputed victory for Ukraine. It will mean a complete defeat of Russia and the restoration of territorial integrity of Ukraine, which will be the key goal.

"Is it achievable? Yes, it is. Will it be difficult? Yes. Because the only way for this to happen is for the international community to provide Ukraine with everything it needs without any doubts. Because Ukraine cannot do it alone," he said.

If this does not happen, then a "reduced victory" is possible - when Ukraine will remain as a state, but there will be some kind of solution and some kind of agreement with Russia. It will consist in the fact that Russia will retain the seized territories because it will not leave them voluntarily.

According to the third scenario, the international community will give up on Ukraine altogether, and Russia will be able to seize it.

"It will be an absolute defeat," the political strategist emphasized.

He noted that he wants Ukraine to win because other authoritarian regimes, such as China and Iran, are watching the war and will see opportunities if Russia achieves something.

"But at the moment, if the US does not provide funding, strong additional support, the EU does not help, the most likely scenario is that Ukraine will have to give up territory - Crimea and a large part of the east. But I hope that this scenario will not be realized. But again, it all depends on the international community and the way it provides assistance," added Dane Waters.

Earlier "Apostrophe" wrote that experts unveil five most likely scenarios for the course of the war against Russian occupants in Ukraine in 2024.